Who will replace tonight’s winners in the Senate?

Joe Biden might win two elections tonight. One for the vice-presidency, and the other for his Senate seat, which he has already won tonight.

Some of the name’s floating around for Barack Obama’s Senate seat are Jesse Jackson Jr., the son of Jesse Jackson, Rahm Emanuel, an already influential leader in the House, Jean Schakowsky also from the House, longtime Obama adviser Valerie Jarrett, and former congressional candidate Tammy Duckworth.

Joe Biden’s replacement could be just a temporary one until his son Beau Biden could run for the Senate seat himself in 2010.

As for Senator John McCain, the Democratic Governor in Arizona, Janet Napolitano, has the option to appoint anyone she wants as long as they are a Republican. So, she could not appoint herself.

Another twist in all of this: If current Alaskan Senator and convicted felon Ted Stevens wins his Senate seat and is ousted by the Senate leadership, Governor Sarah Palin could be appointed to Senator Palin. You Betcha!

Update, 11/5/08: Let me make this clear. The only way Governor Palin can be Senator Palin is if she resigns her spot as Governor of Alaska and then the new Governor, who would be Sean Parnell, would then appoint Palin to the Senate spot.

An election worse than 2000?

With Barack Obama drawing large majorities of votes from big states such as California and New York, and getting closer than most Democratic candidates before him in states in the South, can Barack Obama win the popular vote, but lose the electoral college?

In 2000, Al Gore suffered from low voter turnout. The state of Florida was only determined by 537 votes, and as we all know, Florida gave the election to Bush. If Barack Obama gets close enough to McCain in southern states like Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia, but doesn’t manage to get enough votes to actually win the state, he could end up with more votes than John McCain. High voter turnout in blue states will not reflect in the electoral college in favor of Obama, these votes will just pad his popular vote.

Perhaps this will never happen, or maybe this is McCain’s last chance. Let’s see what happens.

The American Dream Deferred

The American Dream Deferred

“America was established not to create wealth but to realize a vision, to realize an ideal - to discover and maintain liberty among men. “-Woodrow Wilson

It has been many years since the time of American Dreams realized. It would seem, since the birth of this great nation, that we the people have forgotten to realize the vision. A vision , that sculpted the mountain of the American way and made the U.S. the pinnacle of the World. Founded on the principles of liberty, freedom, and justice for all, we have throughout history contradicted the very principles that made us who we are. We as America have been the wind that has carried democracy, natural rights, and freedom throughout the valleys of the world, yet we deny many who are our fellow the natural right for well being.

Today’s America has matured from the days of slavery, denial of women’s rights, civil rights for all Americans, and public discriminatory racism to childish bickering of democrats versus republicans, conservatives versus liberals, and patriots and terrorism. When will the debauchery in America end. When will our greed and selfishness be replaced with Americanism and selflessness. People elect their representatives for irrational views than for the commonwealth of people and our nation. Our country bled the blood of countrymen for rights of freedom of religion but dictated politicians to the code of “Christianity”. Our spite of our fellow man and self interest blind our founding principles of the American way. The American dream.

Somehow we as a people have tarnished the glorious western light of liberty with pettiness and and foreign bullying. We arrogantly borrow from countries whose governmental ideologies differ from one another and then shove democracy in to nations whose culture and religion that conflicts with our concepts. The American Dream has evolved into the nightmare from the west, who dictates and forces our religion and democratic ideologies on the very difference that we cherish as America. How have we stray so far from home. Why do we roam for fear and force instead of exploration and innovation. We have allowed our fear to distort our vision of the world and manipulated Christianity to justify the cause.

It is that clouded judgment that has somehow made Christianity a qualification to be a real American. In a country founded on the bases of freedom of religion, we have become a nation that persecutes and isolate those whose religious preference differs from our own. In today’s world, we fight the crusade against Muslim nations and label it the war on terror so we can have a clear conscience. when we go to bed at night. Subsequently. we have become the very terrorist we despise and seek out. Not to point fingers but, it seems since Conservative Republicans took office eight years ago, hate, fear, and deception has been the fuel that drove our military into the heart of Muslim nations to wage war with and idea.

From observation of this nation’s past decade, one notion is true the American dream has been lost, abandoned for hate, diminished by fear and discouraged by deception. When will she return, when lady America grace American shores with her glory. It is not certain the time nor the hour, but merely determined by the minds and hearts of the American People who dream the dream of dreams.- William R. Gilbert, Jr.

Koko Chassid’s Electoral Projection

Polls show that Barack Obama is winning in most battleground states. This is not counting the infamous “Bradley effect” which the AP projects can effect 6% of Obama’s vote.

So is he winning?–

Wisconsin

Barack Obama–51%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT (-6%) = 45%

John McCain –46%(+) BRADLEY GAINS(+6%)=  52%  — McCAIN WINS.

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Ohio

John McCain–48(+) BRADLEY GAINS(+6%) = 54% — McCAIN WINS.

Barack Obama–46%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT(-6%) = 40%

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Pennsylvania

Barack Obama–48%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT(-6%) = 42%

John McCain–38%(+) BRADLEY GAINS(+6%) = 44% — McCAIN WINS.

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Michigan- McCAIN CONCEDES- OBAMA WINS.

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Florida

Barack Obama–49%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT(-6%) = 43%

John McCain– 44%(+)BRADLEY GAINS(+6%) = 50%– McCAIN WINS.

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Virginia

Barack Obama– 51%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT(-6%) = 45%

John McCain– 39%(+) BRADLEY GAINS(+6%) = 45%— TIE (history shows it will go to McCain.)

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Minnesota

Barack Obama– 47%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT(-6%) = 41%

John McCain– 46% BRADLEY GAINS(+6%) = 52%– McCAIN WINS.

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New Mexico

Barack Obama– 45%(-) BRADLEY EFFECT(-6%) = 39%

John McCain–  40%(+) BRADLEY GAINS)(+6%)  = 46%– McCAIN WINS.

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*originial poll numbers were give by CNNPOLITICS.COM and + or - 6% was done by a Stanford University study.

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My electoral count shows McCain taking a landslide victory with 338 electoral votes and Barack Obama with 200 electoral votes.

President: John Sidney McCain III

Vice President: Sarah Louise Heath Palin

Thirteen Cars and Seven Houses?

It looks like John McCain has been caught in another lie, he has previously said he only owns American built cars, but government records show he owns thirteen cars, and two of them are foreign made, one is a Honda, the other is a Volkswagen.

In addition to the foreign made cars, McCain has a lot of gas guzzlers including a 2007 half-ton Ford pickup truck, a 2008 Jeep Wrangler, and a 2001 GMC SUV.

How many cars do the Obama’s own? Just one, a Ford Escape Hybrid. They also own only one house, yet for some reason they still call Obama the elisist and McCain the workingmans man.

Not Change

McCain is not change, and neither is his wing man, Pallin. Obama is the change candidate, he is the candidate that used the change platform. Since the Republican convention it seems the Same Old Party has been trying to adopt change as it’s new name, with little challenge from Obama (swift boats anyone?). However Barack Obama is now visibly hitting back in an email he sent to supporters this afternoon:

[McCain's] new ad uses what news organizations are calling “naked lies” to reinvent two politicians whose records embody the same culture of corruption and far-right policies we’ve seen from the Bush administration.

The biggest whopper in the ad (that’s still being repeated day after day by McCain and Palin on the campaign trail) is that Governor Palin stopped the infamous “Bridge to Nowhere” — in fact, she supported it, and even hired a lobbyist in Washington to get more pork-barrel projects like it.

If the McCain-Palin campaign wants to have a debate about who is prepared to bring the change we need, we’re more than ready.

More than this not being change, the McCain story has been floundering on their experience equals judgment claims too. It seems they can’t use judgment to come up with their own campaign motto’s (the best judgment would be actually joining the progressive platform, not just using it’s campaign language).

PTA President is not Vice-Presidential Material

Senator McCain celebrated his birthday by picking a hockey mom turned governor as his running mate. It was an interesting day to make the pick because,  it was also the senator’s birthday. John McCain turned 72 on Friday, this means, if elected, he would be the oldest president in our nations history.

The Governor talks with a slightly squeaky voice. She wears glasses and fashions a hair style that give the appearance of a cold and rigid attitude.

Palin listed her less than impressive resume:

Kids Basketball Coach

“Hokey Mom”

PTA President

City Council of Wasila

Mayor of Wasilla Alaska (town of 5470) This is the same town that she said she cut government spending….one has to ask how much spending there really in such a small town…

Governor of Alaska (Alaska is the same size as Charleston, South Carolina)

She said in her speech that she rejected the Alaskan, “Bridge to Nowhere.” This was an interesting statement, because the legislation was drafted by Alaska senator and John McCain loyalist, Ted Stevens.

When I heard of the decision, I thought:”This must be the only woman that would run with John McCain.” After all this is the same John McCain that voted against the Violence Against Women Act. The same John McCain that has supported anti-choice legislation time after time after time again. This is the same John McCain that did not support an equal pay/equal wage bill, just last April.

This woman is not qualified to be vice-president. John McCain’s age makes this pick questionable and even dangerous. In a world where the United States is liable to numerous national security threats, I don’t believe this “Hokey Mom” would be fit to serve as commander in chief, in the event of something happening to John McCain. A McCain/Palin White House would be a recipe for disaster and America cannot afford another one of those.

John McCain at the DNC

While I was walking into the Pepsi Center tonight, Mitt Romney was walking out. He was walking so fast, and unfortunately I was unable to get a picture. It was unusual to see what could have been the Republican nominee at the Democratic Convention. It was as if Hillary Clinton were to make an appearance at the Republican Convention next week. There are easy ways to explain unpredictable events such as this. Mitt Romney must have been a guest on one of the network news shows.

Romney was at the DNC to provide John McCain’s side of the story. A side of the story that was already being told all night by the numerous Democrats and the few Republicans that spoke.

What we’ve learned tonight from the Democrats is that a President McCain would not be good for the economy, healthcare, women, minorities, and America. What I wanted to hear more about is why John McCain won’t be good for future generations, and young people specifically.

I guess it can also be said that all of those issues I mentioned above do have a direct influence on America’s young people. A strong economy for the future depends on what we are doing right now to plan for it. And a strong America today can lead the way for a stronger America tomorrow.

McCain Attacks Obama for not Picking Clinton

I shouldn’t be surprise that the straight talk express has jumped the tracks again… but for some reason I am. John McCain has decided to stop talking about the issues and bring up the Obama VP issue. That’s fine if he wants to critique Joe Biden’s stance on issues, but he’s attacking the VP choice of a person who isn’t even selected as the VP:

Republican John McCain launched a new ad Sunday claiming rival Barack Obama passed over Hillary Rodham Clinton as his running mate for “speaking the truth” about his liabilities.

The ad, called “Passed Over,” features a clip of Clinton and repeats criticisms the New York senator made during the Democratic primaries over Obama’s alleged lack of specifics on issues, negative campaign tactics and his relationship with Antoin Rezko, a former Obama fundraiser convicted in June on corruption charges.

I’m sure the campaign made two ads in preparation for his announcement. One of them is the one we’re talking about right now. The other would be seeking to disenfranchise the Democratic yet Hillary haters while at the same time mobilizing the anti-Hillary Repulblicans.

Is this what American politics has come to, when one party won’t run on it’s own failing platform, but instead chooses to divide another party?

And finally I’d like to say to all the Hillary Clinton supporters, please do vote for Obama, he is way better than McCain who wants to ban pretty much everything (abortion, privacy, safe food, good veterans care and more) except for guns. And if you can’t bring yourself to vote for someone who supports what you believe in, please at least vote for someone who supports what both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama stand for.

Remember, ThinkYouth will be covering the 2008 Democratic National Convention live from Denver next week.

McCain Hates Lobbyists?

Politico is reporting that McCain is calling lobbyists “birds of prey” and says they won’t have any place in his administration. Then why, I am wondering, does he have 134 of them working for his campaign?

McCain is trying to steal Obama’s idea of change and say that he is going to bring change to the White House, but he can’t even talk about world affairs without being influenced by good old fashioned lobbyists. As most people know, one of his top advisors used to lobby for the nation of Georgia.

And let’s just say, that McCain does fire everybody that worked on his campaign and hire completely different advisors for his administration. A. Why doesn’t he just hire some of those advisors now? B. Why should we believe he is going to do that? and C. Who are these new advisors going to be and will they have the same positions as his current lobbyist advisors?

McCain is just creating more questions than answers and completely avoiding the fact that if he gets elected, it will be due to the efforts of lobbyists, in which case, he might owe a favor or two…

Is Bush to Blame for the Georgian War?

For the past several days there’s been heavy fighting in Georgia, particularly in the break away region of South Ossietia. But could Bush administration policies be to blame for the quick escalation in tensions that lead to all out war?

In 2002 special forces trained Georgian troops to fight in the Chechnya region, as part of his war on terror. Georgian forces received further training prior to the 2003 US violation of the “territorial integrity” of Iraq. The government has also received over $150 million in US aid for security purposes, and that’s on top of nearly $300 million for “effective governance.”

But why would Bush care so much about this tiny eastern European country? For one a major oil pipeline that skips both Russia and Iran runs through this country, supplying oil from the black sea to western countries. Secondly this conflict stems from the cold war, and feelings over the sphere of influence.

McCain meanwhile used the same strong arm tactics that sparked the conflict in the first place. He called for Russia to be removed from the G8, and said that Russia should immediately halt it’s military operations, while mentioning nothing of Georgia halting it’s action. While Russia should defiantly be condemned for jumping into another nations internal conflicts, it should be noted that the Georgian president activated his shiny new American trained army to begin fighting rebels in the province of South Ossetia.

Barack Obama meanwhile called on restraint from both sides, while also siding with an American ally. He made this statement, “I reiterate my call for Russia to stop its bombing campaign, to stop flights of Russian aircraft in Georgian airspace, and to withdraw its ground forces from Georgia.”

The Energy Plan America Really Needs

First it was FISA, now Barack Obama appears to have caved and wants offshore oil drilling, but thankfully this time he appears ready to do some negotiation:

Senator Barack Obama said on Saturday that he would reluctantly consider accepting some new offshore oil drilling in the Gulf of Mexico in exchange for stripping oil companies of tax breaks and extending several tax credits to spur the search for alternative fuels.

This is not enough to reduce oil prices, and the only thing it increases is risk to the environment (oil spills and global warming). I’d be willing to support this plan if it had more strings attached:

1. Invest heavily in bus rapid transit along highways and other commuter thoroughfares. Bus rapid transit is like a subway system without the trains, and instead of a stop every block, routes have only select stop areas. The fare is also payed at the station, speeding bus boarding.
2. Invest in mass transit systems like subways and light rail which often times spurs walkable transit oriented development that encourages a car free lifestyle.
3. Continue to expand congestion pricing, which uses free market ideas to charge road users increasing amounts of money to use a road, which encourages people to drive less, use mass transit, or drive at less congested times (when prices are lower, due to lower demand).
4. The money for this would come from the National Highway Trust Fund. While it’s tempting to spend all the money saved from leaving Iraq on domestic programs, that money is money America doesn’t have to spend.
5. If oil from the strategic oil reserve is released it must be tied to reducing the speed limit on national roads. This reserve should only be used for emergencies, like when America invades Iran and the Middle East gets together and says no more oil for the Americans.

But McCain’s energy plan is even worst, with his advocating for drilling in ANWR and his gas tax holiday scam. But my point is to challenge the Democrats to create true energy reform, not just band aids and funding for futuristic concepts, but use technologies that are already available.

More Deaths in Afghanistan than in Iraq

More US and NATO troops were killed in Afghanistan than in Iraq for the second straight month:

Militants killed more U.S. and NATO troops in Afghanistan in June than in Iraq for the second straight month, a grim milestone capping a run of headline-grabbing insurgent attacks that analysts say underscore the Taliban’s growing strength.

The fundamentalist militia in June staged a sophisticated jailbreak that freed 886 prisoners, then briefly infiltrated a strategic valley outside Kandahar. Last week, a Pentagon report forecast the Taliban would maintain or increase its pace of attacks, which are already up 40 percent this year from 2007 where U.S. troops operate along the Pakistan border.

So it seems as soon as the situation in Iraq gets stabilized chaos breaks out in Afghanistan. And then just in time for a general election the press seems to be ignoring the situation in Afghanistan, and coverage in general of America’s wars.

The only option for victory in these countries is to let Arab nations that know the cultures and politics proceed with reconstruction. Meanwhile American withdrew it’s forces, but continued to release funds to rebuild what we destroyed.

McCain doesn’t have a good plan for Afghanistan, he wants highly trained swimmers searching for Osama bin Laden in the desert badlands of Pakistan and Afghanistan. McCain likes to tote a “secret plan” for victory, but Bush talked of a secret plan in 2004, and nothing seems to be improving in the two war fronts.

Supreme Court fails on 2nd Ammendment

*Picture from ABCNEWS.COM

Many people support gun rights for defense and for hunting uses. But, handguns are not needed for any of those two purposes. Handguns can easily be concealed and used for a series of crimes. You do not need a pistol to hunt for deer or other wild animals. By the means of protecting yourself, you are still allowed to have rifles and shotguns, which cannot easily be concealed.
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